Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,697$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(137 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,804.7}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 77.5)}}\) (asimptote \(5,804.7\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $18$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(0.207 \times 10^{0.039t}\) (doubling rate \(7.7\) days)
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,494$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,857$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(670 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(19.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,770.1}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 57.5)}}\) (asimptote \(11,770.1\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $623$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(125 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{552.7}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 27.6)}}\) (asimptote \(552.7\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,105$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,546$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(51.7 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{61,073.4}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 125.2)}}\) (asimptote \(61,073.4\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $68$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(8.26 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{150.3}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 71.1)}}\) (asimptote \(150.3\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,113$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $25,937$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(439 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{414,765.7}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 119.6)}}\) (asimptote \(414,765.7\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $552$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(18 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.2\) days)
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $11,934$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,043$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(19.6 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,951.1}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 68.1)}}\) (asimptote \(1,951.1\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $12$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(1.06 \times 10^{0.031t}\) (doubling rate \(9.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{18.7}{1 + 10^{-0.050 (t - 29.9)}}\) (asimptote \(18.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $866$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $19,666$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(515 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{53,503.0}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 84.7)}}\) (asimptote \(53,503.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $816$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(79.1 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(19.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{961.0}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 46.6)}}\) (asimptote \(961.0\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $13,645$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $334$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(157 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(51.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.6}{1 + 10^{-0.103 (t - 15.2)}}\) (asimptote \(333.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(5.17 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(56.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.8}{1 + 10^{-0.081 (t - 11.8)}}\) (asimptote \(9.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $390$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(17 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{439.1}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 49.5)}}\) (asimptote \(439.1\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $231$ on 2020-05-27